TD 9 seems to be encountering a number of conditions hindering development into tropical storm status, but now is moving into warmer waters which should help it gain strength. The 5 day track shows it staying out at sea and making a turn to the north well away from the US. Hopefully it stays there.
GIVEN THE INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND GRADUALLY WARMING SE SURFACE TEMPERATURES...SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN SPITE OF THE SHEAR...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST. IF THE GFS/CANADIAN UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN DOES DEVELOP...THE SYSTEM COULD GET MUCH STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFDL MODEL...WHICH HAS CONSISTENTLY DISSIPATED THE DEPRESSION...NOW CALLS FOR IT TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH IN ABOUT FOUR DAYS.