TD 11

TD 10 fizzled out and now there is TD 11, which looks like it won't be much more than a big rain event for central Mexico.

From today's noon discussion:

UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS VERY STRONG AND THE WATER IS WARM...HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE VERY LONG OVER THE WATER TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THESE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. ALTHOUGH NEITHER THE SHIPS NOR GFDL INTENSITY GUIDANCE MAKES THIS SYSTEM A TROPICAL STORM...I PREFER TO ERR ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION IN FORECASTING THE DEPRESSION TO REACH STORM STRENGTH.

TD 11 - 22-Aug-05