Getting to the peak of storm season

Starting to head into the peak period for hurricane season now. There's TS Debby brewing out in the eastern Atlantic.

Sounds like development of Debby won't be very fast, and the forecast track seems have it staying out in the ocean and not coming close to the US. Still lots of time for that to change though. Plenty of storm season left to keep watch on too.

From today's 5 AM discussion:

DEBBY WILL BE ENCOUNTERING DRIER MID-LEVEL AIR AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SSTS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO...WHICH SHOULD KEEP INTENSIFICATION SLOW IN THE NEAR TERM. THEREAFTER... THE CYCLONE WILL BE PASSING OVER WARMER SSTS...BUT SHEAR IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WHICH MAKES FOR A DIFFICULT INTENSITY PREDICTION. THE NHC FORECAST BRINGS DEBBY TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 4 DAYS...WHICH IS VERY CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL AND SHIPS...BUT IS LEVELED OFF IN DEFERENCE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF INCREASING SHEAR.

TS Debby - 23-Aug-06