Compared to last year, this year's storm season so far has been a bit of a dud (thank goodness). There's still two months of the season left to go though. The latest system, TD 9, looks like it will stay out in the Atlantic like Florence, Gordon and Helene did and probably become TS Isaac in a day or two.
THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY SITUATED BETWEEN AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE TO ITS WEST AND A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE GFS...UKMET... AND NOGAPS MODELS ALL TAKE THE CYCLONE AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE...THEN ACCELERATE THE SYSTEM AT DAYS THREE THROUGH FIVE NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH FROM THE WEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS CLOSELY WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE AFOREMENTIONED GUIDANCE.